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Could Monero (XMR) Price Be Poised for Breakout Above $200 Next?

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Written by
Valdrin Tahiri

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Edited by
Ryan Boltman

13 July 2023 14:30 UTC
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  • The Monero (XMR) price has broken out from a 665-day descending resistance line, indicating that a bullish reversal has begun.
  • The price action and wave count from the daily time frame both support the continuing of the increase to the next closest resistance area.
  • Despite this bullish price forecast, closing below $160 will mean that the price will retrace further down before eventually resuming the increase.
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After four unsuccessful attempts, the Monero (XMR) price finally broke out from a 665-day resistance line, indicating that the previous downward movement had ended.

Bullish signs in long- and short-term time frames suggest the XMR price will continue increasing toward the next resistance area.

Monero Price Finally Clears 665-Day Resistance

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The technical analysis of XMR in the weekly time frame reveals a significant price increase. The upward movement began following a rebound from the $130 support level on June 10.

Two weeks later, the price broke out from a descending resistance line that had persisted for 665 days.

A breakout from such a long-standing pattern suggests completing the previous correction. However, it is important to note that while the XMR price closed above this line, it has yet to initiate a rally toward the next resistance at $260.

Monero (XMR) Price Resistance
XMR/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView
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Additionally, despite the upward movement, the confirmation of the breakout is not supported by the weekly RSI. Traders commonly employ the RSI as a momentum indicator to gauge whether a market is overbought or oversold, aiding their decision-making on asset accumulation or selling.

When the RSI reading surpasses 50, and the trend is upward, the bulls maintain an advantage. Conversely, if the reading falls below 50, the opposite holds true.

Although the RSI currently sits slightly above 50, it has fluctuated above and below this threshold since mid-July 2021 (highlighted). This is a sign of an indeterminate trend.

Read More: How To Make Money in a Bear Market

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XMR Price Prediction: Wave Count Supports Increase to $200

Similarly to the weekly time frame readings, the daily ones lean bullish. There are several reasons for this.

Firstly, the price has broken out from a shorter-term descending resistance line and is trading above the $160 horizontal support area. The area had previously provided resistance and has now seemingly turned to support.

Secondly, the wave count suggests that the price completed an A-B-C correction (black) beginning in February. Then, it began a new five-wave increase in June (white). If the count is correct, the price will complete wave four soon and begin the fifth and final wave towards $200.

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However, the RSI does not confirm the bullish count. While the indicator is above 50, it decreases, providing some conflicting signs.

Monero (XMR) Price Movement
XMR/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView
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Despite this bullish XMR price prediction, a daily close below the $160 area will mean that the price will retrace further, possibly reaching the $150 support created by the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.